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Showing 2 of 2 papers in Econometrics

How does the smart pension policy promote economic development? Based on evidence at provincial level in China

Zhetong Li, Yanshuo Huang, Xiaoxian Pang, Qian Chen, Ling She, Zhetong Li, Yanshuo Huang
2025-07-03 ChinaXiv: chinaxiv-202506.00295 Mixed Source

According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, as of 2023, China's elderly population aged 60 and above has exceeded 296 million, accounting for 21.1% of the total population. This figure underscores the severity of population aging in China. Against this macro backdrop, traditional elder…

Multiple Intervention Effects and ARIMAX Forecasting: An Application of a World Bank Project in China

SHI Hao, SHI Hao
2025-06-28 ChinaXiv: chinaxiv-202507.00030 Original EN

In alignment with China’s national strategic plan, Zhejiang Province officially launched the World Bank-financed "Zhejiang Qiandao Lake and Xin’an River Basin Water Resources and Ecological Environment Protection Project" in November 2018. This paper uses an ARIMAX INTERVENTION model to quantitative…